Cagayan de Oro City, Misamis Oriental, Camiguin and northern portion of Bukidnon will be along the forecast path of Tropical Depression Kabayan. Based in the latest advisory from PAGASA, TD Kabayan will be in the vicinity of Macajalar Bay by tomorrow morning, December 18, 2023. Signal No. 1 is already hoisted over the said areas. Keep safe.
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐. ๐
๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ญ ๐๐:๐๐ ๐๐, ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ฆ๐๐๐ซ ๐๐๐๐
๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ง๐๐ฑ๐ญ ๐๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ง ๐๐ญ ๐:๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ๐๐๐ฒ.
โ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐โ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐
๐๐ผ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ (๐๐:๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐๐ ):โฃโฃ
The center of Tropical Depression KABAYAN was estimated based on all available data at 440 km East of Davao City (7.6ยฐN, 129.6ยฐE)
๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ถ๐๐:โฃโฃ
Maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 70 km/h, and central pressure of 1002 hPa
๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐:โฃโฃ
North Northwestward Slowly
๐๐ฑ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ช๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌโฃโฃ
Strong winds extend outwards up to 350 km from the center
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ (๐๐๐ช๐) ๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐โฃโฃ
๐๐๐ช๐ ๐๐จ. ๐ (๐๐ช๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต: ๐๐ต๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ด)โฃโฃ
๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฒ๐๐ฌ: โฃ
The southern portion of Samar (Basey, Santa Rita, Marabut, Talalora, Villareal, Pinabacdao), the southern portion of Eastern Samar (Maydolong, City of Borongan, Quinapondan, Guiuan, Lawaan, Balangiga, Llorente, Giporlos, Salcedo, Balangkayan, General Macarthur, Hernani, Mercedes), Leyte, Southern Leyte, Bohol, and Camotes Islands
๐๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ง๐๐จ: โฃ
Dinagat Islands, Surigao del Norte, Surigao del Sur, Agusan del Norte, Agusan del Sur, the northern portion of Davao Oriental (Cateel, Boston, Baganga), the northern portion of Davao de Oro (Monkayo, Laak), Misamis Oriental, Camiguin, and the northern portion of Bukidnon (Impasug-Ong, Malitbog, Manolo Fortich, Sumilao, Libona, Baungon, Cabanglasan, City of Malaybalay)
๐ช๐๐ซ๐ง๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฅ๐๐๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐: 36 hoursโฃโฃ
๐๐๐ง๐ ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐๐ฌ: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)โฃโฃ
๐๐จ๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฅ ๐ข๐ฆ๐ฉ๐๐๐ญ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ: Minimal to minor threat to life and propertyโฃโฃ
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐โฃโฃ
โฃ๐๐๐๐ฏ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฅ๐จ๐จ๐คโฃโฃ
โฃ๐ ๐จ๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐จ๐๐๐ฒโฃ
โข 100-200 mm: Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and Southern Leyte
โข 50-100 mm: Eastern Visayas, Davao Region, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of Caraga
๐ ๐จ๐ซ๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ญ๐จ๐ฆ๐จ๐ซ๐ซ๐จ๐ฐโฃ
โข 100-200 mm: Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat Islands, and Southern Leyte
โข 50-100 mm: Eastern Visayas, Central Visayas, Northern Mindanao, and the rest of Caraga.
Forecast rainfall are generally higher in elevated or mountainous areas. Under these conditions, flooding and rain-induced landslides are likely especially in areas that are highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards as identified in hazard maps and in localities that experienced considerable amounts of rainfall for the past several days.
In addition, the Shear Line coinciding with the passage of KABAYAN may bring heavy rainfall over the eastern portion of Southern Luzon today and over the eastern portion of Luzon tomorrow. For more information, refer to Weather Advisory No. 3 issued at 11:00 AM today and the 24-Hour Public Weather Forecast and Outlook issued at 4:00 AM today.
๐๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ช๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ โฃโฃ
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
โข Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
Additional provinces in Visayas and Mindanao may be placed under Wind Signal No. 1 in the next bulletin.
The surge of the Northeast Monsoon will bring also gusty conditions for the next 2 days over the following areas not under any Wind Signal, especially in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds:
โข Today and tomorrow: Batanes, Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Aurora, Bataan, Bulacan, Rizal, Quezon, Lubang Island, Marinduque, Cuyo Islands, Bicol Region, Visayas, the northern and eastern portion of mainland Cagayan, the eastern portions of Isabela and Nueva Ecija, and portions of Cordillera Administrative Region, Zambales, Pampanga, Cavite, Mindoro Provinces.
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐ช๐๐๐๐๐โฃโฃ
Under the influence of the Northeast Monsoon surge and KABAYAN, a Gale Warning is in effect for the coastal waters along the seaboard of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao. Sea travel is risky for small seacraft (including all motor bancas of any type or tonnage). Mariners of these vessels are advised to remain in port or seek safe harbor. For more information, refer to Gale Warning No. 3 issued at 5:00 AM today.
๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โฃโฃ
โข KABAYAN is forecast to track generally westward or west northwestward path across the Philippine archipelago over the next two days and is likely to maintain it strength until its initial landfall over Mindanao. However, the possibility of reaching tropical storm category pre-landfall is not ruled out.
โข On the track forecast, it is likely to make landfall along the coast of Surigao del Sur or Davao Oriental tonight or tomorrow early morning, cross the rugged terrain of Mindanao, and emerge over Bohol Sea or Sulu Sea tomorrow morning or afternoon. Due to frictional effects associated with landfall, KABAYAN is forecast to weaken over land and the possibility of being downgraded into a low pressure area while over land or after emerging over the sea is not ruled out (although in such a case, re-development may still occur over the Sulu Sea).
โข For the remainder of tomorrow and into early morning of Tuesday, KABAYAN will move across the Sulu Sea south of Cuyo Islands. The tropical cyclone is forecast to make another landfall over central or southern Palawan as a tropical depression by Tuesday morning, then emerge over the Philippine Sea by noon or early afternoon of the same day. Afterwards, KABAYAN may pass near or over Kalayaan Islands in the West Philippine Sea.
โข It is imperative to stress that the projected track and intensity of the tropical depression remain subject to change, given its nature and strength.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.โฃโฃ
๐๐๐๐-๐๐๐๐๐๐โฃโฃ
